Global Problems


GP

Near Absence of Trees in Gulf Countries
December/2025

Near Absence of Trees in Gulf Countries

The Gulf region, officially referred to as the Arabian Gulf or Persian Gulf region, includes six main countries: Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman. One of the most striking environmental characteristics shared by these countries is the near absence of natural tree cover. Unlike tropical, temperate, or even semi-arid regions where trees form a dominant part of the landscape, the Gulf countries are overwhelmingly dominated by deserts, barren land, and sparse shrubs.

Trees play a vital role in regulating climate, supporting biodiversity, preventing soil erosion, and improving human well-being. Their scarcity in the Gulf has profound environmental, social, and economic consequences, including extreme urban heat, frequent dust storms, biodiversity loss, and increased dependence on artificial cooling systems. Understanding why trees are rare in this region requires a careful examination of geography, climate, soil conditions, and historical land-use patterns.

This section provides a foundational overview of the geographic and natural background of the Gulf countries to explain why tree growth has always been limited and why afforestation remains a major challenge.

1.2 Geographic Location of Gulf Countries

The Gulf countries are located in West Asia, primarily on the Arabian Peninsula, between latitudes 16°N and 32°N. This positioning places the region firmly within the subtropical desert belt, an area known globally for high temperatures, low precipitation, and limited vegetation.

Geographically, the region is characterized by:

● Vast sandy deserts (Rub’ al Khali, An Nafud, Ad-Dahna)
● Rocky plateaus and gravel plains
● Limited mountain ranges (notably in Oman and southwestern Saudi Arabia)
● Long coastlines along the Arabian Gulf and the Arabian Sea

Most of the land lies far from permanent freshwater sources, such as rivers or lakes, which further limits the development of dense vegetation.

1.3 Natural Vegetation Zones in the Gulf

Naturally occurring vegetation in the Gulf is classified as desert or hyper-arid vegetation.

Instead of trees, the dominant plant forms are:
● Xerophytic shrubs
● Seasonal grasses
● Salt-tolerant plants (halophytes)
● Sparse acacia trees in isolated wadis and mountain foothills

Forests, as defined by international standards (areas with more than 10% tree canopy cover), are virtually nonexistent in most Gulf states.

Total Land Area and Natural Tree Cover in Gulf Countries
Country Total Land Area (km²) Estimated Natural Tree Cover (%) Forest Area (km²)
Saudi Arabia 2,149,690 0.5% ~10,700
United Arab Emirates 83,600 3.8% ~3,175
Qatar 11,586 0.1% ~12
Kuwait 17,818 0.3% ~53
Bahrain 778 1.5% ~12
Oman 309,500 1.0% ~3,095




1.4 Climate Characteristics Affecting Tree Growth

The Gulf countries experience one of the harshest climates on Earth, making tree survival extremely difficult without human intervention.

Key climatic features:
● Extremely high temperatures, often exceeding 45°C in summer
● Very low annual rainfall, often below 100 mm
● High evaporation rates, far exceeding rainfall
● Frequent droughts

Trees require sustained moisture during root development, which is rarely available in the region.

Average Annual Rainfall in Gulf Countries

Data measured in millimeters (mm) per year
Country Average Annual Rainfall (mm)
Saudi Arabia
59
UAE
78
Qatar
75
Kuwait
121
Bahrain
83
Oman
100
Highest: 121 mm | Average: 86 mm




1.5 Temperature Extremes and Vegetation Stress

Extreme heat is a defining feature of the Gulf climate. During summer months, surface temperatures often exceed 50°C, creating intense stress on plants.

Average Summer Temperatures in Gulf Countries

Data measured in degrees Celsius (°C)
Country Average Summer Temperature (°C) Peak Recorded Temperature (°C)
Saudi Arabia 42 54
UAE 43 52
Qatar 44 50
Kuwait 45 54
Bahrain 42 48
Oman 40 50
⚠️ All Gulf countries experience extreme summer temperatures with peaks exceeding 48°C
Hottest Avg: 45°C | Highest Peak: 54°C


1.6 Soil Conditions and Natural Limitations

Beyond climate, soil quality plays a critical role in limiting tree growth. Most soils in the Gulf are:

● Sandy or gravelly
● Low in organic matter
● Highly saline in coastal and inland basins
● Poor in nutrients such as nitrogen and phosphorus

These conditions prevent deep root anchoring and restrict nutrient uptake, making long-term tree survival difficult without soil amendment.

1.7 Historical Perspective on Tree Cover

Historically, the Gulf region has never supported dense forests. Ancient populations adapted to the environment through:
● Nomadic lifestyles
● Reliance on date palms in oases
● Limited use of wood resources

Overgrazing by camels and goats further reduced already scarce vegetation, accelerating land degradation.

● Geographic placement in the global desert belt
● Extremely low rainfall
● Extreme heat
● Poor soil conditions
● Historical land-use practices

These natural constraints form the foundation upon which modern environmental challenges and policy responses must be understood.

Climatic Constraints on Tree Growth in Gulf Countries

2.1 Overview of Climatic Barriers

Climate is the single most powerful limiting factor behind the near absence of trees in the Gulf countries. Even with modern technology and irrigation, the natural climate of the region works against long-term tree survival. Trees evolved to grow in environments where rainfall, temperature, and humidity remain within certain biological limits. In the Gulf, these limits are frequently exceeded.

The climatic challenges include:
● Extremely low and unpredictable rainfall
● Excessive heat for prolonged periods
● Very high evaporation rates
● Frequent drought cycles

Together, these factors create a hostile ecological environment where only highly adapted desert shrubs and grasses can survive naturally.

2.2 Low and Erratic Rainfall Patterns

Rainfall in the Gulf region is not only scarce, but also irregular. In some years, rainfall may be almost negligible, while in others it may arrive in short, intense bursts that cause runoff rather than soil infiltration. Trees require consistent moisture availability to develop deep root systems. In the Gulf, rain often evaporates or flows away before it can be absorbed.

Monthly Rainfall Distribution in Gulf Countries

Average rainfall in millimeters (mm) per month
Country Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
Saudi Arabia 10
8
12
9
3
0
0
0
1
4
6
6
59
UAE 14
12
10
7
2
0
0
0
1
4
14
14
78
Qatar 13
11
15
9
2
0
0
0
1
6
9
9
75
Kuwait 25
22
30
20
10
2
0
0
0
5
4
3
121
💧 Rainfall is concentrated in winter months (Nov-Mar) with dry summers (Jun-Aug) across all Gulf countries
Highest Monthly
30 mm
Kuwait in March
Dry Months
3
Jun-Aug (0 mm)
Wettest Country
Kuwait
121 mm annual




2.3 Extreme Heat Stress on Trees

Gulf countries experience prolonged heat waves that last several months.

High temperatures accelerate:
● Water loss through transpiration
● Soil moisture evaporation
● Leaf scorching and root damage

Many tree species cannot maintain physiological functions when temperatures exceed 40°C for extended periods.

Average Monthly Maximum Temperatures in Gulf Countries

Maximum temperatures in degrees Celsius (°C)
Country January March May July September November
Saudi Arabia 20
27
38
43
40
28
UAE 24
30
39
45
41
31
Qatar 23
29
38
44
41
30
Kuwait 18
26
40
46
42
27
Winter Peak
24°C
January
Spring Peak
30°C
March
Summer Peak
46°C
July
Autumn Peak
42°C
September
⚠️ Summer temperatures exceed 40°C in all Gulf countries, with July being the hottest month
Hottest Month
46°C
Kuwait in July
Coolest Month
18°C
Kuwait in January
Highest Avg
38.8°C
Average across months




2.4 High Evaporation Rates

In desert climates, evaporation rates can be five to ten times higher than annual rainfall. This means that even when rain occurs, most of the water is lost before it can benefit plant roots.

Average Monthly Maximum Temperatures (°C)

Maximum temperatures in degrees Celsius (°C)
Country January March May July September November
Saudi Arabia 20
27
38
43
40
28
UAE 24
30
39
45
41
31
Qatar 23
29
38
44
41
30
Kuwait 18
26
40
46
42
27
Winter Peak
24°C
January
Spring Peak
30°C
March
Summer Peak
46°C
July
Autumn Peak
42°C
September
⚠️ Summer temperatures exceed 40°C in all Gulf countries, with July being the hottest month
Hottest Month
46°C
Kuwait in July
Coolest Month
18°C
Kuwait in January
Highest Avg
38.8°C
Average across months


2.5 Drought Frequency and Duration

Droughts in the Gulf are not occasional events but persistent climatic conditions. Multi-year droughts reduce groundwater recharge, further restricting moisture availability for trees.

Average Drought Occurrence in Gulf Countries

Drought years per decade (10-year period)
Country Drought Years per Decade
Saudi Arabia
7 out of 10 years
7
High Frequency
UAE
6 out of 10 years
6
Medium Frequency
Qatar
7 out of 10 years
7
High Frequency
Kuwait
6 out of 10 years
6
Medium Frequency
Bahrain
5 out of 10 years
5
Moderate Frequency
Oman
5 out of 10 years
5
Moderate Frequency
Highest Frequency
70%
of years in drought
Average
60%
of years in drought
Lowest Frequency
50%
of years in drought
⚠️ Gulf countries experience drought conditions in 50-70% of years, highlighting severe water scarcity
Most Affected
Saudi Arabia & Qatar
7 years per decade
Least Affected
Bahrain & Oman
5 years per decade
Regional Average
6 years
per decade




2.6 Climate Change Intensifying Constraints

Climate change is amplifying existing challenges by:
● Increasing average temperatures
● Reducing rainfall reliability
● Extending heatwave duration

Future climate projections suggest that the Gulf region may become even less suitable for tree growth without artificial support.

Water Scarcity and Dependence on Desalination

3.1 Introduction: Water as the Central Constraint

Water scarcity is the most decisive factor limiting tree growth in Gulf countries. Even if climate and soil challenges could be partially managed, the lack of natural freshwater remains a fundamental barrier. Trees require sustained water availability over many years, but the Gulf region is among the most water-stressed regions in the world.

Natural water sources such as rivers, lakes, and permanent streams are almost entirely absent. As a result, Gulf countries rely heavily on groundwater extraction and desalination, both of which pose severe limitations for large-scale afforestation.

3.2 Groundwater Resources and Depletion

Groundwater historically supported limited agriculture and oasis-based vegetation, especially date palms. However, decades of over-extraction have caused:

● Rapid decline in water tables
● Increased salinity
● Permanent aquifer damage

Most groundwater in the Gulf is fossil water, meaning it does not recharge on human timescales.

🌊 Groundwater Status in Gulf Countries

Distribution of renewable vs. fossil groundwater sources

Country Renewable Groundwater (%) Fossil Groundwater (%) Over-extraction Level
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
10%
90%
Very High
🇦🇪 UAE
8%
92%
Very High
🇶🇦 Qatar
5%
95%
Extremely High
🇰🇼 Kuwait
6%
94%
Very High
🇧🇭 Bahrain
7%
93%
High
🇴🇲 Oman
15%
85%
High
Renewable Groundwater
Fossil Groundwater




3.3 Agricultural Water Demand vs Afforestation Needs

Agriculture already consumes the largest share of available water, leaving limited resources for tree planting projects. Trees, especially during establishment, require regular irrigation for several years.

💧 Water Consumption by Sector 🌍
Percentage Distribution Across Gulf Countries

Analysis of water usage patterns in agriculture, domestic, and industrial sectors across Gulf Cooperation Council countries

Country 🌾 Agriculture 🏠 Domestic 🏭 Industry
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
84%
Agriculture
12%
Domestic
4%
Industry
🇦🇪
UAE
76%
Agriculture
19%
Domestic
5%
Industry
🇶🇦
Qatar
70%
Agriculture
26%
Domestic
4%
Industry
🇰🇼
Kuwait
69%
Agriculture
27%
Domestic
4%
Industry
🇧🇭
Bahrain
60%
Agriculture
34%
Domestic
6%
Industry
🇴🇲
Oman
86%
Agriculture
11%
Domestic
3%
Industry
📊 Regional Sectoral Averages
🌾
74.2%
Average Agriculture Use
🏠
21.5%
Average Domestic Use
🏭
4.3%
Average Industry Use




3.4 Rise of Desalination as a Water Source

Due to the collapse of natural freshwater sources, Gulf countries have become global leaders in desalination technology. However, desalinated water is:

● Energy-intensive
● Expensive
● Primarily reserved for domestic and industrial use

Using desalinated water for irrigation of trees is economically and environmentally controversial.

💧 Desalinated Water in Total Supply 🌊

Share of Desalinated Water (%)

Percentage of total water supply sourced from desalination plants across Gulf countries

🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
💧
50%
Desalinated
Regional Comparison
0%
SA
100%
🇦🇪
UAE
💧
80%
Desalinated
Regional Comparison
0%
UAE
100%
🇶🇦
Qatar
💧
99%
Desalinated
Regional Comparison
0%
QA
100%
🇰🇼
Kuwait
💧
95%
Desalinated
Regional Comparison
0%
KW
100%
🇧🇭
Bahrain
💧
90%
Desalinated
Regional Comparison
0%
BH
100%
🇴🇲
Oman
💧
35%
Desalinated
Regional Comparison
0%
OM
100%




3.5 Cost of Desalinated Water for Irrigation

Desalinated water costs several times more than natural freshwater. This cost makes large-scale tree irrigation economically impractical.

💰 Cost of Desalinated Water 💧

Cost per Cubic Meter (USD)

Comparative analysis of desalination costs across Gulf Cooperation Council countries

💵 Cost Efficiency Analysis
Country 💵 Cost per m³ (USD) 📊 Cost Visualization 📈 Comparison
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
$0.80
$0.80
Lowest Cost
🇦🇪
UAE
$1.00
$1.00
Average
🇶🇦
Qatar
$1.20
$1.20
Highest Cost
🇰🇼
Kuwait
$1.10
$1.10
Above Average
🇧🇭
Bahrain
$1.00
$1.00
Average
🇴🇲
Oman
$0.90
$0.90
Low Cost
📊 Cost Distribution
Saudi Arabia
$0.80
UAE
$1.00
Qatar
$1.20
Kuwait
$1.10
Bahrain
$1.00
Oman
$0.90
📈 Key Statistics
$1.00
Average Cost
$0.80
Lowest Cost
$1.20
Highest Cost
$0.40
Cost Range
Cost Efficiency Ranking
1. Saudi Arabia ($0.80) 2. Oman ($0.90) 3. UAE/Bahrain ($1.00)
💡 Economic Insights
The cost of desalinated water varies significantly across Gulf countries, ranging from $0.80 to $1.20 per cubic meter. Saudi Arabia demonstrates the most cost-efficient desalination at $0.80/m³, while Qatar has the highest cost at $1.20/m³. The average cost across the region is approximately $1.00 per cubic meter.




3.6 Treated Wastewater as an Alternative

Some Gulf countries are increasingly using treated wastewater for irrigation. While promising, this approach faces limitations:

● Infrastructure costs
● Public acceptance issues
● Salinity accumulation in soils

♻️ Treated Wastewater Reuse 🌱

Wastewater Reused for Irrigation (%)

Sustainable water management through treated wastewater reuse for agricultural irrigation

♻️ Circular Water Economy
Country 💧 Reuse Percentage 📊 Progress Indicator 🌍 Environmental Impact
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
%35
35%
🌿 Medium Impact
🇦🇪
UAE
%60
60%
🌍 High Impact
🇶🇦
Qatar
%58
58%
🌍 High Impact
🇰🇼
Kuwait
%45
45%
🌿 Medium Impact
🇧🇭
Bahrain
%50
50%
🌿 Medium Impact
🇴🇲
Oman
%25
25%
🌱 Low Impact
📈 Reuse Percentage Comparison
Saudi Arabia
35%
UAE
60%
Qatar
58%
Kuwait
45%
Bahrain
50%
Oman
25%
📊 Regional Statistics
45.5%
Average Reuse Rate
60%
Highest (UAE)
25%
Lowest (Oman)
35%
Range
💚 Environmental Benefits of Wastewater Reuse
💧
Conserves freshwater resources by reducing dependence on groundwater and desalination
🌿
Provides nutrient-rich water for agriculture, reducing fertilizer requirements
♻️
Promotes circular economy by closing the water loop and reducing waste
💰
Reduces treatment and disposal costs while creating sustainable water supply




3.7 Water Security vs Environmental Ambitions

Gulf governments must balance:
● Drinking water security
● Food production
● Industrial development
● Environmental greening projects

In times of water stress, tree planting is often deprioritized, reinforcing the scarcity of trees.

Urbanization, Oil Economy, and Land-Use Change

4.1 Introduction: Human-Driven Landscape Transformation

While climate and water scarcity explain much of the natural absence of trees in Gulf countries, human activities have further reduced the already limited vegetation cover. Rapid urbanization, oil-driven economic growth, and large-scale infrastructure development have transformed desert landscapes into cities, highways, industrial zones, and energy facilities. In this process, natural land capable of supporting even sparse trees has been replaced by concrete and asphalt.

This section examines how economic priorities and land-use decisions have intensified tree scarcity across the Gulf region.

4.2 Rapid Urban Expansion in Gulf Countries

Over the last five decades, Gulf countries have experienced some of the fastest urban growth rates in the world. Oil revenues enabled:

● Massive city construction
● Expansion of road networks
● Creation of industrial zones and ports
● Land reclamation projects

Urban growth often occurred without ecological planning, leaving little space for trees.

🏙️ Urban Population Growth 📈

Urban Population Percentage (1970-2024)

Historical urban population growth trends across Gulf countries over five decades

📊 Historical Urbanization Data
Urbanization Timeline
1970
Early Urbanization
~64% Average
1990
Rapid Growth Phase
~78% Average
2010
Modern Urbanization
~88% Average
2024
Current Status
~91% Average
Country 📅 1970 📅 1990 📅 2010 📅 2024 📊 Growth Trend
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
49%
73%
83%
85%
+36%
Rapid Growth
🇦🇪
UAE
72%
80%
88%
91%
+19%
Steady Growth
🇶🇦
Qatar
70%
85%
96%
99%
+29%
Near Total
🇰🇼
Kuwait
82%
86%
98%
100%
+18%
Fully Urbanized
🇧🇭
Bahrain
84%
89%
90%
91%
+7%
Stabilized
🇴🇲
Oman
30%
54%
73%
78%
+48%
Fastest Growth
📅 Urbanization Over Time
1970
49%
1990
73%
2010
83%
2024
85%
Saudi Arabia: Urban Growth Pattern
📊 Urbanization Statistics
100%
Highest (Kuwait)
78%
Lowest (Oman)
+48%
Max Growth (Oman)
+7%
Min Growth (Bahrain)
Regional Average: 91%
Gulf countries show exceptionally high urbanization rates, with Kuwait reaching full urbanization
🔍 Key Observations
Kuwait achieved 100% urbanization by 2024, becoming fully urbanized
Qatar and UAE show nearly complete urbanization at 99% and 91% respectively
Oman experienced the most dramatic growth (+48%) but remains the least urbanized
Bahrain maintained consistently high urbanization levels throughout the period
Saudi Arabia shows steady progress from 49% to 85% over five decades




4.3 Land Consumption by Infrastructure

Large-scale infrastructure projects consume vast areas that might otherwise support limited vegetation. These include:

● Airports and seaports
● Oil refineries and pipelines
● Industrial free zones
● Military installations

Once developed, these lands become ecologically sealed, preventing any tree growth.

Land Allocated to Infrastructure

(% of Total Land)

Country Infrastructure Land (%) Visual




4.4 Oil Economy and Environmental Trade-Offs

The oil and gas sector dominates Gulf economies and shapes land-use priorities. Exploration, drilling, pipelines, and processing facilities occupy large tracts of land, often in ecologically sensitive desert areas.

Additionally:
● Environmental regulations were historically weak
● Economic growth was prioritized over ecological preservation
● Land restoration received limited attention

Contribution of Oil & Gas to GDP

(% of GDP)

Country Oil & Gas Share of GDP (%) Visual




4.5 Loss of Traditional Green Areas

Before rapid modernization, small green spaces existed around:

● Oases
● Date palm farms
● Seasonal grazing areas
Urban expansion and groundwater depletion led to the decline of these traditional vegetation zones, further reducing tree presence.

Decline in Traditional Agricultural Land

(% of Total Land Area)

Country
1980
Agricultural Land (%)
2024
Agricultural Land (%)
Decline Change Trend




4.6 Urban Design and Heat-Intensive Surfaces

Modern Gulf cities rely heavily on:
● Concrete
● Asphalt
● Glass
● Steel
These materials:
● Absorb and retain heat
● Increase surface temperatures
● Reduce soil permeability

As a result, urban environments become hostile to tree survival, even where planting is attempted.

4.7 Lack of Green Urban Planning (Historical Context)

Until recent years:

● Tree planting was largely decorative
● Green spaces were minimal
● Maintenance costs discouraged large-scale planting

Urban greenery was considered a luxury, not a necessity.

Environmental and Ecological Impacts of the Near Absence of Trees

5.1 Introduction: Why Trees Matter Environmentally

Trees are fundamental to ecological stability. They regulate temperature, stabilize soil, support wildlife, filter air pollutants, and influence local climate patterns. In Gulf countries, the near absence of trees has intensified environmental stress, transforming deserts into even more fragile and hostile ecosystems. While deserts are naturally sparse, the lack of trees amplifies degradation beyond natural limits.

This section explores how limited tree cover affects desertification, biodiversity, climate, soil health, and atmospheric conditions in the Gulf region.

5.2 Accelerated Desertification

Trees act as natural barriers against desert expansion by:
● Holding soil together with roots
● Reducing wind speed at ground level
● Retaining moisture in the soil
Without trees, Gulf landscapes are highly vulnerable to wind erosion and sand movement, leading to expanding deserts and land degradation.

Land Affected by Desertification

(% of Total Land)

Country Land Affected by Desertification (%) Visual




5.3 Increase in Dust and Sandstorms

Trees reduce dust storms by acting as windbreaks and trapping airborne particles. In their absence, the Gulf region experiences frequent dust and sandstorms, affecting air quality and visibility.

Average Annual Dust Storm Events

Dust Storms per Year

Country Dust Storms per Year Frequency Visual




5.4 Loss of Biodiversity and Wildlife Habitat

Trees provide shelter, nesting sites, and food sources for birds, insects, and mammals. Their absence leads to:
● Reduced species diversity
● Habitat fragmentation
● Decline of pollinators

Desert ecosystems become simplified and fragile, unable to recover from disturbances.

Estimated Decline in Native Species

(% Decline from Historical Levels)

Country
🌱
Plant Species Decline (%)
🐾
Animal Species Decline (%)
Total Impact Trend




5.5 Soil Degradation and Nutrient Loss

Trees contribute organic matter through leaf litter and root decay. Without them:

● Soil fertility declines
● Microbial activity decreases
● Soil becomes compacted and saline

Soil Organic Matter Content

Average Soil Organic Matter (%)

Country Average Soil Organic Matter (%) Soil Health Visual




5.6 Amplification of the Urban Heat Island Effect

Trees cool cities through shade and evapotranspiration. Their absence leads to:

● Higher surface temperatures
● Increased energy demand for cooling
● Heat stress for humans and animals

Urban Temperature Increase Due to Tree Absence
Average urban temperature increase in Middle Eastern countries when trees are absent
Country Average Urban Temperature Increase (°C)
Total countries: 6
Highest increase: 6.5°C (Kuwait)
Average increase: 5.62°C


5.7 Reduced Carbon Sequestration Capacity

Trees absorb carbon dioxide and store carbon in biomass. Their scarcity limits the Gulf’s ability to:

● Offset emissions
● Mitigate climate change
● Improve air quality

Estimated Carbon Sequestration Capacity
CO₂ absorption capacity in tons per hectare per year across Gulf countries
Country CO₂ Absorption (tons/ha/year)
6
Countries
0.9
Highest Absorption
0.53
Average Absorption
3.2
Total Capacity




Social and Public Health Impacts of Tree Scarcity

6.1 Introduction: Trees and Human Well-Being

Trees are not only ecological assets; they are also essential for human health and social well-being. In Gulf countries, the near absence of trees affects daily life by increasing heat stress, worsening air quality, limiting outdoor activity, and reducing overall quality of life. While wealth and technology have enabled climate-controlled indoor environments, dependence on artificial cooling comes with health, economic, and social costs.

This section explores how limited tree cover influences public health, social behavior, mental well-being, and urban livability in the Gulf region.

6.2 Heat Stress and Human Health Risks

Trees reduce ambient temperatures through shade and evapotranspiration.

Without them, people are exposed to:
● Extreme outdoor heat
● Higher risk of heat exhaustion and heatstroke
● Reduced tolerance for physical activity

Outdoor workers, elderly populations, and children are particularly vulnerable.

Heat-Related Illness Cases
Annual rates per 100,000 people in Gulf countries
Shows the incidence of heat-related health conditions including heat exhaustion, heat stroke, and dehydration requiring medical attention
🔍
⚠️ High Heat Risk Region
Country Heat-Related Illness Rate
🏥
6
Countries
🔥
260
Highest Rate
Kuwait
📊
200.8
Average Rate
per 100,000 people
⚠️
1205
Estimated Cases
per 600,000 population


6.3 Air Quality Degradation and Respiratory Problems

Trees act as natural air filters by trapping dust and absorbing pollutants. In their absence:

● Particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) remains airborne
● Dust storms worsen respiratory conditions
Asthma and bronchitis cases increase

Average PM2.5 Concentration
Fine particulate matter levels in µg/m³ across Gulf countries
PM2.5 refers to atmospheric particulate matter with a diameter of less than 2.5 micrometers. These fine particles can penetrate deep into lungs and enter the bloodstream.
🔍
🌫️ Air Quality Data
Country PM2.5 Level (µg/m³)
🌍
6
Countries
⚠️
55
Highest PM2.5
Kuwait
📊
46.7
Average PM2.5
µg/m³
🎯
Above WHO Limit
WHO recommends 10 µg/m³
Good (0-12)
Moderate (13-35)
Unhealthy for Sensitive (36-55)
Unhealthy (56-150)
💡 Note: All countries in this dataset exceed the WHO annual PM2.5 guideline of 10 µg/m³


6.4 Mental Health and Psychological Well-Being

Numerous studies show that green spaces:

● Reduce stress
● Improve concentration
● Lower anxiety and depression

In Gulf cities, limited access to trees and natural landscapes contributes to:
● Psychological fatigue
● Reduced social interaction
● Increased dependence on indoor entertainment

Access to Green Space per Capita
Green space availability in square meters per person across Gulf countries
Green space includes parks, gardens, urban forests, and other vegetated areas accessible to the public. More green space correlates with better mental health, physical activity, and urban cooling.
🔍
🍃 Urban Greenery
Country Green Space per Capita (m²/person)
🌍
6
Countries
🏆
7.0
Highest
Oman
📊
4.5
Average
m²/person
🎯
45%
Below WHO Target
WHO recommends 9 m²
🌳 Optimal: 9+ m²/person (WHO)
🌲 Moderate: 5-9 m²/person
🍃 Low: Below 5 m²/person
💡 Urban Planning Recommendation
All countries in this dataset fall below the WHO recommendation of 9 m² of green space per person. Increasing urban greenery through parks, street trees, and green roofs can significantly improve public health, reduce urban heat island effects, and enhance quality of life.


6.5 Reduced Outdoor Physical Activity

Extreme heat and lack of shaded areas discourage walking, cycling, and outdoor exercise. This leads to:

● Sedentary lifestyles
● Increased obesity rates
● Higher incidence of lifestyle diseases

Adult Obesity Prevalence
Percentage of adult population with obesity across Gulf countries
🔍
⚕️ Public Health Data
Country Obesity Rate (%)
🌍
6
Countries
⚠️
40%
Highest Rate
Kuwait
📊
34.2%
Average Rate
of adult population
🎯
2.3×
Above Global Avg
Global average: 15%
High Risk: 35%+
Medium Risk: 25-34%
Low Risk: Below 25%
💡 Obesity is a major risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and certain cancers. These rates are significantly higher than the global average of approximately 15%.


6.6 Social Inequality and Access to Green Spaces

Tree-lined streets and parks are often concentrated in:
● Wealthy neighborhoods
● Tourist areas
● Gated communities

Low-income workers and migrant populations often live in areas with minimal greenery, increasing exposure to heat and pollution.

Green Space Distribution by Income Group
Green space access index (0-10) across high and low-income areas
Measures the disparity in access to parks, gardens, and urban greenery between affluent and less affluent neighborhoods
🔍
🌳 Environmental Justice
Country High-Income Areas Low-Income Areas
🌍
6
Countries
📈
7.0
Avg High Income
Index score
📉
2.4
Avg Low Income
Index score
⚖️
2.9×
Inequality Ratio
High:Low income
Green Space Inequality Across Gulf Countries
💡 This data reveals significant environmental injustice, with high-income areas having nearly 3 times more green space access than low-income areas. This inequality affects public health, urban cooling, and community wellbeing.


6.7 Economic Costs of Tree Absence

The lack of natural cooling increases:
● Electricity consumption
● Government subsidies for energy
● Household cooling expenses

Electricity Used for Cooling (% of Total Consumption)
Country Cooling-Related Electricity (%)
Saudi Arabia
60%
UAE
70%
Qatar
75%
Kuwait
72%
Bahrain
55%
Oman
50%




Government Initiatives and Afforestation Efforts in Gulf Countries

7.1 Introduction: A Shift Toward Greening the Desert

In recent years, Gulf governments have recognized that the near absence of trees poses serious environmental, health, and economic risks. As a result, many countries in the region have launched ambitious afforestation, urban greening, and environmental sustainability programs. These initiatives aim not to create natural forests in the classical sense, but to increase tree cover in urban areas, highways, parks, and degraded lands.

This section examines major government-led greening efforts, their goals, achievements, and limitations.

7.2 Saudi Arabia: Saudi Green Initiative

Saudi Arabia launched the Saudi Green Initiative (SGI) as part of Vision 2030, aiming to combat desertification and improve environmental quality. Key objectives:

● Plant 10 billion trees across the Kingdom
● Restore degraded land
● Reduce carbon emissions

Saudi Green Initiative Targets and Progress
Tracking environmental goals and 2024 achievements
🔍
🌿 Saudi Vision 2030
Indicator Target Achieved (2024) Progress
🎯
3
Key Indicators
📈
2.4%
Avg. Progress
Towards targets
🌳
45M
Trees Planted
of 10B target
6
Years Left
Until 2030 target
📋 Initiative Overview
The Saudi Green Initiative is part of Vision 2030, aiming to combat climate change, reduce carbon emissions, and protect the environment through afforestation and land restoration projects.
📍 Launched in 2021 as part of Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030
🎯 Target completion year: 2030
💰 One of the largest environmental programs in the region
Yearly Progress Required to Meet 2030 Targets
Trees to be planted
1.66B/year needed
Land restoration
6.5M ha/year needed
CO₂ reduction
43M tons/year needed




7.3 United Arab Emirates: Urban Greening and Mangroves

The UAE has focused on urban landscaping and coastal mangrove restoration, recognizing mangroves as water-efficient, climate-resilient ecosystems.

Key programs:
● Abu Dhabi Mangrove Restoration
● Dubai Urban Tree Plantation
● National Afforestation Plan

UAE Tree Planting and Mangrove Expansion

Category Area / Number
Urban trees planted 120 million
Mangrove area (ha) 75,000
Annual planting rate (million trees) 10
120M
Urban Trees
75K ha
Mangrove Area
10M/yr
Annual Planting




7.4 Qatar: Green Legacy of Mega Events

Qatar intensified greening efforts ahead of major global events, particularly the FIFA World Cup 2022, focusing on parks and public spaces.

Qatar Afforestation Initiatives

Indicator Value
Trees planted (2015–2023) 16 million
Public parks developed 140
Irrigation from treated wastewater (%) 60%
Treated Wastewater Usage for Irrigation
60%
More than half of irrigation water comes from treated wastewater, supporting sustainable afforestation.
16M
Trees Planted in 8 Years
140
Public Parks Developed
2M/yr
Average Annual Planting
60%
Sustainable Water Use




7.5 Kuwait: Combating Dust and Heat

Kuwait’s greening strategy focuses on:
● Roadside plantations
● Windbreaks
● Dust control

Kuwait Greenbelt and Tree Programs

Indicator Value
Trees planted 5 million
Greenbelt length (km) 190 km
Tree survival rate (%) 55%
🌳 Tree Survival Rate
55%
Over half of planted trees survive in Kuwait's challenging climate
🛣️ Greenbelt Visualization
190 km of greenbelt providing environmental protection
5M
Total Trees Planted
190 km
Greenbelt Length
55%
Survival Rate in Arid Climate
Climate Challenge: Kuwait's harsh desert climate with high temperatures and limited rainfall presents significant challenges for tree survival, making the 55% survival rate a notable achievement.


7.6 Bahrain: Urban Parks and Coastal Greenery

Bahrain’s limited land area forces a focus on urban parks and roadside greenery rather than large forests.

Bahrain Greening Efforts

Indicator Value
Trees planted 1.8 million
Urban green space increase (%) 12%
Mangrove restoration (ha) 400 ha
🌳 Tree Planting Progress
1.8M
1.8 million trees planted across the island nation
🏙️ Urban Green Space
12%
12% increase in urban green spaces
🌊 Mangrove Restoration
400 ha
400 hectares of coastal mangroves restored
🌴
1.8M
Trees Planted
📈
12%
More Green Space
🌿
400 ha
Mangroves Restored
🏝️
33
Island Nation
Island Challenge: As an archipelago nation, Bahrain faces unique environmental challenges including limited land area and coastal erosion. Mangrove restoration is particularly important for protecting coastlines and supporting marine biodiversity.


7.7 Oman: Natural Vegetation Restoration

Oman emphasizes native species restoration and protection of mountain and coastal ecosystems.

Oman Afforestation and Restoration
Indicator Value
Trees planted 4 million
Native species share 70%
Restored wadis 250 km


7.8 Common Challenges in Government Initiatives

Despite ambitious plans, all Gulf countries face:
● High tree mortality rates
● Long-term maintenance costs
● Water sustainability concerns
● Reliance on non-native species

Challenges and Limitations of Greening the Gulf

8.1 Introduction: Why Greening the Gulf Is So Difficult

Despite ambitious tree-planting campaigns and strong financial capacity, Gulf countries face unique and persistent challenges in increasing tree cover. Greening the region is not simply a matter of planting trees; it requires overcoming severe climatic, hydrological, ecological, and economic barriers. Many projects have struggled with low survival rates and high maintenance costs, highlighting the limits of large-scale afforestation in hyper-arid environments.

This section examines the key obstacles that restrict the success of greening initiatives in the Gulf.

8.2 High Tree Mortality Rates

One of the most serious problems is the high mortality of planted trees, especially during the first 2–5 years after planting. Causes include:

● Heat stress
● Inadequate irrigation
● Soil salinity
● Poor species selection

Tree Survival Rates After 5 Years (%)
Country Survival Rate (%)
Saudi Arabia 40
%
UAE 55
%
Qatar 45
%
Kuwait 35
%
Bahrain 60
%
Oman 65
%


8.3 Unsustainable Water Requirements

Tree planting in the Gulf requires continuous irrigation, often for decades. This places pressure on already scarce water resources.

Average Water Requirement per Tree (liters/day)
Tree Type Water Requirement
🌴
Date palm
💧 150 liters/day
🌳
Acacia
💧 40 liters/day
🌲
Ghaf
💧 25 liters/day
🌿
Imported shade trees
💧 80–120 range liters/day
Note: Date palms require significantly more water than native species like Ghaf and Acacia
Date palm (high water need)
Acacia (moderate water need)
Ghaf (low water need)
Imported trees (variable need)


8.4 Soil Salinity and Degradation

Salinity is a major limiting factor caused by:

● Saline groundwater
● Desalinated water residues
● Poor drainage
High salinity damages roots and reduces nutrient absorption.

Soil Salinity Levels (dS/m)
Country Average Soil Salinity
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
🌱 8.5 dS/m
High
🇦🇪
UAE
🌱 7.8 dS/m
Moderate
🇶🇦
Qatar
🌱 9.2 dS/m
High
🇰🇼
Kuwait
🌱 10.0 dS/m
Very High
🇧🇭
Bahrain
🌱 6.5 dS/m
Moderate
🇴🇲
Oman
🌱 5.8 dS/m
Low
Salinity Scale:
Low (<6) Moderate (6-8) High (8-10) Very High (>10)

8.5 Reliance on Non-Native Species

Many greening projects rely on fast-growing imported tree species that provide shade quickly but are poorly adapted to desert conditions.

Survival Comparison – Native vs Non-Native Trees (%)
Tree Type Survival Rate (%)
🌳
Native species
+30% Advantage
65 %
65%
🌴
Non-native species
35 %
35%
Native Survival Advantage
Non-native (35%) Native (65%)
+86%
Higher Survival
1.9x
More Likely to Fail
+30%
Difference
Native species are significantly better adapted to local climate and soil conditions


8.6 High Economic and Maintenance Costs

Tree planting requires:
● Irrigation systems
● Soil improvement
● Regular maintenance
● Replacement of dead trees

Annual Maintenance Cost per Tree (USD)

Country Cost per Tree (USD) Visual Indicator
Average Cost: Calculating... Total Countries: 6


8.7 Climate Change Intensification

Rising temperatures and prolonged droughts increase:
● Tree water demand
● Heat stress
● Risk of plantation failure

Projected Temperature Increase by 2050 (°C)

Country Projected Increase (°C) Heat Level
Average Increase: Calculating... Highest: Loading...


8.8 Social and Institutional Barriers

Additional challenges include:
● Limited public awareness
● Short-term project planning
● Lack of long-term monitoring
● Fragmented institutional responsibility

Sustainable Solutions and Future Strategies for Increasing Tree Cover

9.1 Introduction: Rethinking Greening in Hyper-Arid Regions

Given the severe limitations discussed earlier, increasing tree cover in Gulf countries requires a fundamentally different approach from traditional afforestation. The focus must shift from planting large numbers of trees to creating resilient, water-efficient, and ecologically appropriate green systems. Sustainable solutions must work with the desert environment rather than against it.

This section outlines practical, science-based strategies that can realistically improve tree presence and ecosystem services in the Gulf.

9.2 Prioritizing Native and Drought-Resistant Species

Native trees have evolved to survive extreme heat, salinity, and water scarcity. Examples include:

● Ghaf (Prosopis cineraria)
● Acacia species
● Sidr (Ziziphus spina-christi)

Performance of Native Tree Species

Species Water Need (L/day) Survival Rate (%) Ecological Benefits
Avg Water: Calculating... Avg Survival: Calculating... Species Count: 3


9.3 Using Treated Wastewater for Irrigation

Treated wastewater offers a reliable and sustainable water source if managed correctly.

Water Savings Through Wastewater Reuse

Country Freshwater Saved (%) Savings Level
Average Savings: Calculating... Total Countries: 6 Top Saver: Loading...


9.4 Smart Irrigation Technologies

Technological solutions can dramatically reduce water use:

● Drip irrigation
● Soil moisture sensors
● AI-controlled irrigation scheduling

Water Use Reduction via Smart Irrigation

Method Water Reduction (%) Efficiency
Average Reduction: Calculating... Most Efficient: Loading... Methods: 3
High Efficiency (40-50%)
Medium Efficiency (25-39%)


9.5 Urban Micro-Forests and Shaded Corridors

Instead of large forests, cities can adopt:

● Pocket parks
● Green corridors
● Shaded walkways
These provide maximum cooling benefits with minimal land and water use.

Cooling Impact of Urban Trees

Tree Density Temperature Reduction (°C)
Low 1.5°C
Medium 3.0°C
High 5.0°C




9.6 Soil Improvement and Mulching Techniques

Improving soil health enhances water retention and root development.

Soil Improvement Benefits

Technique Moisture Retention Increase (%)
Organic compost 30%
Mulching 25%
Biochar 35%
Visual percentage indicator


9.7 Coastal and Mangrove-Based Afforestation

Mangroves thrive in saline coastal waters and offer high ecological returns.

Benefits of Mangrove Ecosystems

Key ecosystem services provided by mangrove forests
Benefit Impact Level
🌿 Carbon sequestration
Very High
🛡️ Coastal protection
High
💧 Water requirement
Very Low
Very High Impact
High Impact
Very Low Impact


9.8 Community Engagement and Awareness

Public participation ensures long-term success:

● Community tree adoption programs
● Educational campaigns
● Citizen monitoring

9.9 Policy Integration and Long-Term Planning

Effective greening requires:
● Integration into urban master plans
● Long-term funding commitments
● Clear performance indicators
<

Conclusion and Global Lessons from the Gulf Experience

10.1 Reassessing the Meaning of “Greening” in Desert Regions

The near absence of trees in Gulf countries is not a simple environmental failure; it is the result of geographic reality, climatic extremity, water scarcity, and historical land-use choices. Expecting the Gulf to resemble forested temperate regions ignores the fundamental limits imposed by nature. True sustainability in such environments requires redefining what “greening” means—not as mass forest creation, but as strategic ecological enhancement.

This understanding is crucial not only for Gulf countries but also for other arid and semi-arid regions facing similar pressures under climate change.

10.2 Key Findings from the Gulf Case Study

The comprehensive analysis across ten parts reveals several critical conclusions:

1. Natural Constraints Dominate
● Hyper-arid climate
● Extremely low rainfall
● High evaporation
● Poor and saline soils

These factors make natural forest development nearly impossible.

2. Human Activities Intensified Scarcity

● Rapid urbanization
● Oil-driven land use
● Infrastructure expansion
● Groundwater over-extraction

Human decisions amplified already fragile ecological conditions.

3. Environmental Consequences Are Severe

● Desertification
● Dust storms
● Biodiversity loss
● Urban heat islands
● Limited carbon sequestration

These impacts directly affect human health and economic stability.

10.3 Evaluation of Afforestation Efforts

Government initiatives across the Gulf demonstrate strong political will and financial capacity, but they also expose limitations:

Overall Evaluation of Gulf Greening Programs

Comprehensive assessment of key performance factors in regional environmental initiatives
Factor Performance Level
🏛️ Political commitment
High
💰 Financial investment
High
🌳 Tree survival rates
Moderate–Low
💧 Water sustainability
Low
🔄 Long-term ecological integration
Moderate
High Performance
Moderate Performance
Moderate-Low Performance
Low Performance


10.4 Lessons for Other Arid and Semi-Arid Regions

Countries in North Africa, Central Asia, South Asia, and parts of Australia can draw important lessons from the Gulf experience.

Transferable Lessons from the Gulf

Key insights from regional greening initiatives with global applicability
Lesson Global Relevance
1 Use native species
Very High
2 Avoid water-intensive trees
Very High
3 Prioritize micro-greening
High
4 Integrate greening with urban planning
High
5 Monitor survival, not planting numbers
Very High
Very High Global Relevance
High Global Relevance
Key Insight: The Gulf region's experience demonstrates that sustainable greening requires prioritizing ecological suitability and long-term outcomes over short-term visibility.


10.5 Strategic Recommendations for the Gulf’s Future

Based on the evidence presented throughout this study, the following policy-oriented recommendations emerge:

Ecological Priorities
● Focus on resilient desert ecosystems, not artificial forests
● Protect existing native vegetation
● Expand mangrove and coastal ecosystems
Water Management
● Maximize treated wastewater reuse
● Improve irrigation efficiency
● Limit groundwater extraction for greening
Urban Planning
● Embed trees into street design and housing layouts
● Create shaded pedestrian networks
● Expand pocket parks rather than large lawns

Recommended Greening Strategy Mix (%)

Optimal allocation of resources across sustainable greening approaches
Strategy Share (%)
🌳 Native urban trees
🌊 Mangroves and coastal trees
🛣️ Green corridors
🌱 Soil and ecosystem restoration
👥 Public participation programs
Total Allocation: 100%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
Strategy Priority: Native urban trees receive the largest allocation (30%) due to their direct impact on urban heat reduction and air quality improvement.


10.6 Ethical and Environmental Balance

The Gulf experience raises an important ethical question:
Should environmental goals override water security in desert regions?
The evidence suggests that:

● Environmental restoration must not threaten human water access
● Symbolic greening without sustainability is counterproductive
● True environmental responsibility lies in realistic, science-based planning

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